With the old threat of Quebec separatism rearing its head with the Parti Quebecois on the rise in the polls and its leader promising a referendum on Quebec sovereignty if he’s elected, thoughtful commentators have been fretting of late about the possibility of a third referendum.
I’ve got good news for them: it’s not going to happen.
That’s not to say that separatism is dead. It ain’t. What is worth noting, though, is that it’s still stuck in the 33% range where it’s been for decades.
Yes, the second referendum, the one in 1995, was quite a nail-biter thanks to the failure of Meech and the desire of even moderate Quebecers to show their displeasure.
But how many Quebecers are willing to actually chuck it in and give up their Canadian passports? Still about one-third and not growing.
What is growing is the new generation of open, savvy, self-assured and internationally attuned younger Quebecers. …