Canadian pollster Steven Pinkus of Mainstreet Research outlines why Americans narrowly favour Harris over Trump [Video]

If the 2024 United States presidential election were held today, vice-president Kamala Harris would win by the narrowest of margins over former president Donald Trump, according to the latest poll by Mainstreet Research—a Canadian polling firm that teamed up with Florida Atlantic University’s Political Communication and Public Opinion Research Lab to monitor the coming Nov. 5 vote south of the border.

Their results released on Monday, Oct. 28 show a slim Harris victory with 48 percent of the vote, compared with 47 percent for Trump.

It’s the latest in a series of national U.S. election polls conducted by the cross-border collaboration since Toronto-based Mainstreet and FAU began to monitor voter sentiment earlier this year, in what Mainstreet vice-president Steven Pinkus describes as the closest race he has ever tracked on this continent.

Pinkus—who’s an insider with the Liberal Party of Canada—and his team focused on Harris’ efforts to win back more Black voters back to the Democrats, and on Trump’s …