Canada election: Liberals projected to win 4th term, but unclear if minority or majority [Video]

Vote splitting proving costly for NDP

It appears the New Democrats’ fears may be playing out on election night with many of their incumbent seats at serious risk — including Jagmeet Singh’s.

One thing we heard on the campaign trail from the party and supporters was that some Canadians who would have voted NDP were scared of Trump and the idea of a Poilievre government, so they were choosing Carney’s Liberals.

NDP incumbent Heather McPherson, projected to win Edmonton Strathcona, echoed that sentiment. “New Democrats do better when people are voting out of a sense of hope and optimism,” she told my colleague Sam Samson.

The results seem to be a worst case scenario for the New Democrats: vote splitting that has them losing some of their ridings to the Liberals, others to the Conservatives.

The NDP clearly saw this as a potential risk. About …