For the first time in years, Canada’s Liberal Party has overtaken the Conservatives in federal election polling, marking a dramatic reversal just months before voters head to the polls—and U.S. President Donald Trump may be partly to blame.
With Trump threatening sweeping tariffs on Canadian exports, economic concerns have surged to the forefront of the election campaign, disrupting the Conservative Party’s once-dominant lead. A new Ipsos poll for Global News shows the Liberals now at 38 percent support among decided voters, edging out Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives at 36 percent.
Why It Matters
The sudden shift in Canada’s election polling follows a period of deep political turmoil within the governing Liberal Party. Just six weeks ago, Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives held a commanding 26-point lead, fueled by widespread dissatisfaction with Prime Minister Justin Trudeau‘s leadership.
With public support for the Liberals at historic lows—polling as low as 20 percent in early January—Trudeau ultimately announced his resignation, triggering a leadership …