Mark Carney’s Liberal Party is predicted to win this week’s general election in Canada, but is unlikely to win a landslide, according to recent polling.
As of the 2025 federal election, the Canadian House of Commons comprises 343 seats, an increase from the previous 338. This adjustment reflects the electoral redistribution based on the 2021 Canadian census, marking the first election conducted under the new 343-seat electoral map.
The changes mean that the winning party would need to secure 172 seats to win a majority and avoid forming a coalition, while winning more than 200 seats would be seen as a landslide victory.
But polls suggest that the Liberal Party is likely to fall short of a landslide victory.
Why It Matters
Carney, who recently succeeded Liberal Justin Trudeauas prime minister, has called snap elections for April 28, in what is seen as a major test of how far attitudes have changed toward the previously clear favorite, Poilievre, who …