U.S. election 2024: Predicted election results [Video]

Outlets across the United States have been crunching numbers, parsing polls and working their magic models to predict the outcome of Tuesday’s presidential election.

After running their final simulations before election day, overall, the consensus seems to be:

It’s a coin flip.

Most simulations have both candidates in a deadlock, each winning close to 50 per cent of the time.

That’s just the outcome of the race, and not necessarily how the electoral votes are going to fall. Despite what these models are predicting, some outlets are warning “the race isn’t necessarily going to be close just because the polls are.”

Below is an election night roundup of what various American outlets are forecasting.

FiveThirtyEight

In their simulations, ABC News’s FiveThirtyEight has Harris winning 50 per cent of the time and Trump winning 49 per cent of the time.

A screenshot of 538’s election prediction

Decision Desk HQ

The Hill’s Decision Desk HQ has …