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Bank of Canada should ‘Look Past’ Shelter Inflation, Lower Rates: TD Report [Video]

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Canadian Economy and Markets

Bank of Canada should ‘Look Past’ Shelter Inflation, Lower Rates: TD Report

#bankofcanada #canadianrealestate #canadianeconomy

The Bank of Canada should ‘look past’ measures of shelter inflation and adjust interest rates accordingly – this according to a new report from TD. Yet, economists from BMO chimed in, noting that although we might see mortgage interest costs drop, house price inflation would ensue.

Links:

Shelter inflation complicating the Bank of Canada’s road to rate cuts:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wQ-XLMTGve4

The BoC’s Shelter Inflation Problem:

https://economics.td.com/domains/economics.td.com/documents/reports/jo/Canada_Shelter_Inflation.pdf

Canada’s inflation rate slowed to 2.9% in January as gas prices fell:

https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/inflation-january-2024-1.7119796

Economists say mortgage costs keep inflation high. So why is the Bank of Canada not cutting interest rates?:

https://www.thestar.com/business/economists-say-mortgage-costs-keep-inflation-high-so-why-is-the-bank-of-canada-not/article_8f58e3f0-d0cd-11ee-91dc-53c20f33375b.html

Shelter inflation complicating the Bank of Canada’s road to rate cuts:

https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/video/shelter-inflation-complicating-the-bank-of-canadas-road-to-rate-cuts-~2871210

Canadian Real Estate Doesn’t Have A Supply Problem. It’s A Demand Issue:

BMO: https://betterdwelling.com/canadian-real-estate-doesnt-have-a-supply-problem-its-a-demand-issue-bmo/

Canada’s Oldest Bank Begs, “Could we PLEASE Stop With This Supply Myth?”:

https://betterdwelling.com/canadas-oldest-bank-begs-could-we-please-stop-with-this-supply-myth/

Housing stock grew faster than population in Vancouver and Toronto, StatCan finds:

https://financialpost.com/real-estate/housing-stock-grew-faster-population-vancouver-toronto

Nvigorating:

https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/cdcbb31f-601a-4b45-a84a-23298fbef5ae/

Posthaste: There’s one big factor keeping the Bank of Canada from cutting rates:

https://financialpost.com/news/how-housing-keeping-bank-of-canada-cutting-interest-rates

Policy interest rate:

https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/

Bank of Canada can’t solve housing crisis, Tiff Macklem says:

https://financialpost.com/news/economy/bank-of-canada-cant-solve-housing-crisis-tiff-macklem

Canada’s vacancy rate reaches new low as demand outpaces supply:

https://www.cmhc-schl.gc.ca/media-newsroom/news-releases/2024/canadas-vacancy-rate-reaches-new-low-demand-outpaces-supply

Rent prices soared in 2023 as Canada saw lowest vacancy rate on record:

https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/rent-prices-rose-in-2023-1.7100571
Housing affordability improves across Canada in January:

https://www.mpamag.com/ca/mortgage-industry/market-updates/housing-affordability-improves-across-canada-in-january/478275

Consumer Price Index: All Items: Total for Canada:

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CANCPALTT01CTGYM

Bank of Canada’s Preferred Measures of Core Inflation:

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=&ved=2ahUKEwiRh7mivcmEAxV14skDHVMrCrsQFnoECBMQAQ&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.statcan.gc.ca%2Fen%2Fstatistical-programs%2Fdocument%2F2301_d63_t9_v1-eng.pdf&usg=AOvVaw1fBUBLYD648rbBMrs8WIQH&opi=89978449

Bank of Canada to target three different core inflation measures:

https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/!/bank-of-canada-to-target-three-different-core-inflation-measures-20161024

RENEWAL OF THE INFLATION-CONTROL TARGET:

https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/background_nov11.pdf

Getting to the Core of Inflation:

https://www.bankofcanada.ca/multimedia/western-university-speech-webcasts-09-february-2017/

A Regional Look at Canadian Inflation:

https://economics.td.com/ca-regional-inflation

Removing Mortgage Interest From Canada’s CPI Makes Inflation 30% Higher:

https://betterdwelling.com/removing-mortgage-interest-from-canadas-cpi-makes-inflation-30-higher/

Canada’s big banks all beat expectations in quarterly results:

https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/major-banks-results-1.5927537

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